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To reverse a years of deteriorating overall factor performance, regional labour market policy is moving from basic task production to handling active labor force shifts. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more typical as firms integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the top priority is reinforcing financial resilience through more safe trade and investment relationships, efficient AI implementation, managed workforce transitions and disciplined financial policy in a more difficult and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic need and restored financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most international areas peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil revenues will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote more financial investment. The financial deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil costs, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services stay key development motorists, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to select up once again in the second half of 2026, matching ongoing financial investment in facilities, technology and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has come in structure varied, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting rate, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversification efforts.
What distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is genuine, but rather a fundamental shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more profound transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with international service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 conferences between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what follows, including the expansion and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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