Reviewing New GCC Research for Future Insights

Business news and monetary news, analysis, opinion and stats covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Financial growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the area predicted to surpass its 2025 efficiency in spite of soft oil revenues and continuous international uncertainties. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP development is expected to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, reflecting a durable nonenergy sector, strong consumer dynamics, and gradually improving oil output.

The latest projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic need and a broadly consistent worldwide backdrop. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant chauffeur of the area's economic performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable earnings are expected to fuel a surge in customer spending across the Gulf.

Credit development is likewise anticipated to remain elevated as access to monetary services widens. With GCC main banks anticipated to follow expected US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are most likely to decrease, giving households and companies even more motivation to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a blended image.

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This might weigh on firsthalf growth, particularly for economies more depending on oil extraction. Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as stocks tighten and international demand improves. Qatar, meanwhile, stands apart as a local outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports anticipated to raise its overall economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan anticipates a 6 percent cut in capital expense as the kingdom intends to narrow its financial deficit by two portion points. Nevertheless, the report notes that these cuts might not materialise totally if countercyclical costs steps are activated to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their development programs.

Regardless of shortterm threats connected to oil costs and worldwide demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in basics: resilient consumers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil dynamics, and strategic financial planning. With these factors lining up, the area is getting ready for among its most well balanced durations of expansion over the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to stay resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly steady worldwide economy, according to an analysis. In its latest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic product of the GCC region is expected to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

US trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no significant influence on regional development, and non-energy sectors have actually sustained their robust momentum," said Oxford Economics. It included: "Meanwhile, oil production has gradually increased, providing an increase to the region's economies. We expect GCC development will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that economic development in the region is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's ongoing progress toward diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout performers in 2026 and are expected to exceed their worldwide peers.

In December, the IMF further stated that heading inflation is anticipated to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is expected to stay elevated in the GCC region throughout 2026, as access to monetary services is expected to grow and lending is forecasted to be supported by additional cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC central banks are anticipated to follow the United States Federal Reserve by easing financial policy further, which in turn will decrease financial obligation maintenance expenses and boost non reusable earnings and need," stated the report.